Publications

A strategic multilateral dialogue related to biosecurity risks in Southeast Asia, established in 2014, now includes participants from Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, and the United States. This dialogue is conducted at the nonministerial level, enabling participants to engage without the constraints of operating in their official capacities. Participants reflect on mechanisms to detect, mitigate, and respond to biosecurity risks and highlight biosecurity issues for national leadership. Participants have also identified factors to improve regional and global biosecurity, including improved engagement and collaboration across relevant ministries and agencies, sustainable funding for biosecurity programs, enhanced information sharing for communicable diseases, and increased engagement in international biosecurity forums.

To date, the pharmaceutical response to emerging infectious diseases and bioterrorism has been characterized by a “one bug, one drug” approach, where specific medical countermeasures—effective vaccines and therapeutics—are developed, manufactured, and deployed. However, over the past several years, platform technologies have been developed that could make it possible for multiple vaccines to be more rapidly produced from a single system.

On December 3, 2018, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security convened the first annual Global Forum on Scientific Advances Important to the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, coinciding with the 2018 Meeting of States Parties to the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BWC MSP) in Geneva, Switzerland. The forum had 2 purposes: (1) to inform States Parties’ delegations of cutting-edge biological capabilities, including the ability to engineer pathogens or more complex organisms, and (2) to build awareness of and support for international bioweapons nonproliferation norms among the scientific community. Advanced biology, engineered pathogens and other organisms, and accidental biological threats as sources of risk are of great concern to international biological nonproliferation regimes such as the BWC.

In September 2018, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (“the Center”) hosted a dialogue on biosecurity between experts from the United States and the Republic of India. The dialogue, which was held in Washington, DC, was organized in collaboration with the DBT-UNESCO Regional Centre for Biotechnology, an autonomous institute of the Department of Biotechnology (part of the Ministry of Science and Technology, Government of India). This was the fifth meeting of the dialogue, following previous engagements in Washington, DC, in September 2016 and November 2017, as well as meetings in New Delhi, India, in February 2018 and February 2017.This effort is supported by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC, which is sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, DTRA) of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies.

On July 10, 2018, in Washington, DC, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security hosted a meeting on global health security in South Asia. The goal of the meeting was to discuss health security challenges in South Asia and to identify opportunities for implementation of health security initiatives. The speakers included high-level participants from the government of Pakistan, the World Bank, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the US Department of Health and Human Services, the US National Academies of Science, and from other academic, nonprofit, and government organizations. The meeting was sponsored by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC; sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, DTRA) of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies. The highly interactive meeting presented an important opportunity to focus on the health security challenges facing South Asia and to identify paths forward, and it emphasized the importance of dialogue in bringing together multiple disciplines, sectors, and countries, extending even beyond the region. As one participant noted, “A health risk anywhere is a health risk everywhere.” This document is a summary report of the meeting discussions.

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security conducted a Track II multilateral biosecurity dialogue between Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the United States—with observers from the Philippines and Thailand—in Nusa Dua, Indonesia on April 18-20, 2018. Dialogue topics included national biosecurity priorities as well as ongoing and emerging biosecurity threats facing Southeast Asia countries, ranging from emerging infectious diseases to advances in biotechnology to bioterrorism. Participants discussed national-level biosecurity programs and shared lessons from their experiences, building on trusted relationships established over several years of this dialogue with the aim of improving national capacity and collaboration across the broad scope of biosecurity issues.

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security conducted this study to elucidate the characteristics of naturally occurring microorganisms that constitute a global catastrophic biologic risk (GCBR).

GCBRs are defined as “those events in which biological agents—whether naturally emerging or reemerging, deliberately created and released, or laboratory engineered and escaped—could lead to sudden, extraordinary, widespread disaster beyond the collective capability of national and international governments and the private sector to control. If unchecked, GCBRs would lead to great suffering, loss of life, and sustained damage to national governments, international relationships, economies, societal stability, or global security.”

In February 2018, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (“the Center”) hosted a Track II dialogue on biosecurity between experts from the United States and the Republic of India. The dialogue, which was held in New Delhi, India, was organized in collaboration with the DBT-UNESCO Regional Centre for Biotechnology, an autonomous institute of the Department of Biotechnology (part of the Ministry of Science and Technology, Government of India). This was the fourth meeting of the dialogue, following previous engagements in Washington, DC, in September 2016 and November 2017, as well as a meeting in New Delhi, India, in February 2017.1,2,3 This effort is supported by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC, which is sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, DTRA) of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies.

In November 2017, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (“the Center”) hosted a Track II dialogue (i.e. a non-governmental engagement) on biosecurity between experts from the United States and the Republic of India. The dialogue, which was held in Washington, DC, was organized in collaboration with the Department of Biotechnology (part of the Ministry of Science and Technology, Government of India). This was the third meeting of the dialogue; the first was held in Washington, DC in September 2016, and the second in New Delhi, India, in February 2017. The effort is supported by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC, which is sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, DTRA) of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies.

In 2014, the United States launched the Global Health Security Agenda (GHSA) as a 5-year initiative to increase progress toward “a world safe and secure from infectious disease threats.”1 The initial financial commitment was $1 billion. In the years since, important progress has been made. The GHSA has helped to bring political attention to the need to strengthen public health capacities across the globe and has created a mechanism for countries to work collaboratively and make financial commitments to do so.

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security is working to analyze and deepen scientific dialogue regarding potential global catastrophic biological risks (GCBRs), in a continuation of its mission to reduce the consequences of epidemics and disasters. Because GCBRs constitute an emerging policy concern and area of practice, we have developed a framework to guide our work. We invited experts from a variety of disciplines to engage with our underlying concepts and assumptions to refine collective thinking on GCBRs and thus advance protections against them.

Events in the United States and internationally have shown the kinds of great stakes and consequences that often follow epidemics and disasters. Consider the series of health security shocks since 2001: National fear during the anthrax letters events, with impact on all 3 branches of the US government. The respiratory transmissible SARS and MERS viruses spreading via airplanes and hospitals, sometimes by super-spreading individual patients. Human cases of H5N1 bird flu with a case fatality rate of 50%. The sudden emergence and global spread of 2009 H1N1. The congenital malformations following Zika infections—the first mosquito-borne illness to cause such malformations. The terrible mortality and wide spread of Ebola across multiple countries in West Africa, with imposition of large-scale quarantines and costly economic disruptions to trade and travel. The widespread disabling of the healthcare system during major US hurricanes. The use of chemical weapons in war in the Middle East, breaking years of international taboo against it. Discovery of smallpox in an insecure box in a US government lab. The radiation risks and uncertainties over large areas following the Fukushima tsunami and nuclear power plant accident. High-containment laboratory accidents involving important live pathogens.

On December 2-3, 2015, the UPMC Center for Health Security hosted the second meeting of Track II biosecurity dialogue between the United States, Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia. The meeting took place in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and was co-sponsored by the Malaysian Ministry of Health (MOH). The dialogue is supported by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) of the Center on Contemporary Conflict, sponsored by the US Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA).

The purpose of the second meeting of the dialogue – which is the focus of this report – was to engage participants in deeper conversations around the unique biosecurity landscapes of Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the US; examine ongoing national, regional, and global biosecurity threats; identify and critique current policies and approaches to biological threat mitigation; and exchange best practices in biorisk management to strengthen responses to emerging and evolving biological threats. The dialogue featured participants representing various levels of academia, and government, including experts in the life sciences, defense, public health, animal health, journalism, medicine, terrorism, and security.

Biosecurity risks are an increasing concern in Southeast Asia. An outbreak of infectious disease in the region, whether the result of a deliberate attack, an accidental release, or a natural occurrence, could threaten global commerce. It could also affect the security and stability of US allies and interests along the increasingly contentious South China Sea. In addition to the persistent threat of emerging diseases, porous borders and increased terrorist activity in Southeast Asia are continuing to add to this region's biosecurity concerns. In response to the growing biosecurity risks, it is important for the United States to work with partner nations in the region to build bridges of cooperation, share information, and identify practices to manage and diminish the risks posed by biological threats.

Leading experts have declared that the end of the age of antibiotics is imminent and that this development could undermine the foundation of much of modern medicine and public health., Since antibiotics were first introduced into clinical practice some 80 years ago, microbes have been evolving ways to resist these drugs, but in recent years this problem of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has been rapidly getting worse.

Singapore is a critical security partner to the US in Southeast Asia. The US and Singapore share longstanding military relations, with American forces making use of Singapore’s Naval Base facilities, contributing to peace and stabilizing efforts throughout the region, offering humanitarian assistance, and acting as a deterrent to potential security threats.1 US-Singaporean security cooperation also extends to bilateral exercises, joint military training activities, and cargo screening efforts. The importance of Singapore to biosecurity in Southeast Asia continues to grow, due to its rapid biotechnology growth, its leadership in biosafety training within the region, its experience in containing the pandemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), as well as ongoing preparedness efforts related to new, emerging diseases. 

Cases of Ebola that have turned up in Dallas and New York City have prompted calls for a travel ban to prohibit travelers from Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Guinea from entering the US during the ongoing Ebola outbreak. But travel bans have not worked in past epidemics and will not stop Ebola from spreading. Banning travel would slow the movement of people and goods to those countries, harm the international response to the outbreak in West Africa, and increase the prospect of ongoing global spread of Ebola. In addition, travel bans could lead to complete isolation of those 3 countries and would further worsen the economic and humanitarian toll of this crisis.

Singapore is poised to be a critical partner to the US in minimizing biosecurity challenges in Southeast Asia. As a nation, it is vulnerable to both emerging infectious disease and potential terrorism in the region. In addition to its geographical importance within the Asia-Pacific region, Singapore is a rising powerhouse in biotechnology, having invested $13.2B in biotech R&D from 2011-2015. As a result, it has become an attractive site for international biotechnology companies like Novartis, as well as world-class research universities. It is home to government and academic expertise capable of identifying and responding to biosecurity challenges. Its expertise is, in many ways, complementary to that of the US in these realms. 

It's that time of year to think about New Year's resolutions--the kind that could increase our chances that the coming year will be better than 2013 and years prior. In that spirit, we suggest some resolutions for 2014 to better protect people from the consequences of (increasingly common) disasters, epidemics, and other threats to health security.

Diagnostic tests are critical for diagnosing diseases in US troops, for domestic and in­ternational early disease detection and bio­surveillance, and for improving global health.¹ Advances in diagnostics could improve clinical management of a range of diseases in the US healthcare system. The ability to rapidly di­agnose infectious disease has been identified as a strategic priority by the White House,^2,3 the US Department of Health and Human Ser­vices (HHS),⁴ the National Institutes of Health (NIH),⁵ the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC),⁶ and the US Department of Defense (DoD).⁷